If Jonathan Sexton plays for his French club, Racing Metro 92, this weekend in the Top 14, there is every reason to suspect that Ulster outhalf Paddy Jackson will start for Ireland against Samoa in the opening match of the Guinness Test series.
That is, of course, making the assumption that Irish coach, Joe Schmidt has placed Jackson as his number two outhalf ahead of Ian Madigan.
Sexton - the only player in the Irish squad playing overseas after he was lured away by the Euro sign to Racing - even if he is not involved with this club this weekend, may be rested ahead of the two big hit-outs against Australia and New Zealand.
The former Leinster player has literally been flogged since joining the French club featuring in 13 straight matches.
And he has also lost weight so the Irish management are concerned.
Manager, Michael Kearney, said: “He has started in every match (with Racing) bar two. He has dropped a few kilos.
“We certainly want to be careful how we manage him.
“Ideally we would want him to rest this weekend and not be involved in his club,” added Kearney.
It is understood that Sexton’s contract has a clause which allows him to be released to the Ireland training camps.
While Sexton is released to play on international weekends, if the club wanted him to play in the lead-up weekends to international they are quite within their rights to do so.
Ulster’s Jackson admitted this week that he does not know where he is in the pecking order.
However, if Schmidt’s suggestions that players would be assessed on their last four performances - Jackson is well ahead of Madigan.