Trent Alexander-Arnold celebrates with Liverpool teammate Xherdan Shaqiri after keeping their Champions League bid intact with a last-gasp winner over Aston Villa.

This is where Liverpool, Manchester United, Chelsea and Spurs are forecast to finish in the Premier League

Data experts predict where clubs will finish in the race for a Champions League spot

Wednesday, 14th April 2021, 10:44 am

The Top Four trophy. It used to be something Arsene Wenger would stick on his CV (and how we mocked...not now, Arsenal fans, eh?) as he failed to keep pace with whoever was romping to the Premier League title that season.

The race for a Champions League place is often more interesting than who is going to lift the title, and this year is no different.

With Manchester City out of sight, even despite Leeds United’s heroics, attention turns to who will qualify for Europe’s premier competition next season.

Manchester United look comfortable in second, but below them it is a bun fight. Defending Premier League champions Liverpool have ground to make up on those above them but showed their fighting spirit last weekend with a last-gasp winner against Aston Villa.

Elsewhere, Leicester City look like they could blow up as they did last season, Chelsea came back from a 5-2 hammering by relegation strugglers West Brom to qualify for this season’s Champions League semi-final, while dark horses West Ham under the Moyessiah are definitely in the frame.

Then there are outside bets like Spurs ( chance...cough) and Everton.

At the bottom end, who will go down? Newcastle United gave themselves a fighting chance by beating Burnley, who still aren’t out of danger. Can Fulham and West Brom haul themselves out of the bottom three?

Data analysts FiveThirtyEight have taken a look at the remaining fixtures and predicted the final placings:

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