Coronavirus vaccine unlikely to be ready in time
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He told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "I don't think we will get the vaccine for this outbreak.
"I don't think we'll get something in time or at scale for this outbreak."
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Hide AdSir Patrick added: "That said, there have been remarkable changes in the ability to make vaccines, and discover vaccines, just in the last few years, and so things have progressed much more quickly than they would have done in the past.
"And it's not unreasonable to assume that we will end up with a vaccine, and we may do so in a year, 18 months, which is remarkable when you consider just a few years ago it would have taken 20 years to do that."
Sir Patrick added: "We have been looking at this right from the outset with very sophisticated mathematical modelling, and we are confident of refining the death rate, the mortality rate, down, and we really think 1% is probably the most accurate figure at the moment.
"It may be lower."