ONS says drop in inflation sharpest since cost-of-living crisis began, so why are food prices still setting us back so much?

Inflation has fallen to 8.7% meaning reduced energy prices but groceries remain close to 45-year high
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The UK has recorded the sharpest fall in inflation since the cost-of-living crisis began, with a drop in the annual rate to 8.7% in April, but food prices continued to rise at the fastest pace in 45 years.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said annual inflation as measured by the consumer prices index fell below double digits for the first time since August, with a decline from 10.1% in March.

Inflation peaked at 11.1% in October.

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Food price inflation fell marginally from March to April, but food prices are still 19.1% higher than a year ago - close to record highs.

Olive oil, eggs, and sauces and spices have recorded the largest annual price rises.

The sharp fall came as the record energy price increases for households a year earlier were not repeated, although this was offset by the rising cost of a weekly shop as food and non-alcoholic drink prices soared by 19% in the 12 months to April.

Grant Fitzner, the ONS chief economist, said: “Prices in general remain substantially higher than they were this time last year, with annual food price inflation near historic highs.”

While the ONS has reported the biggest fall in inflation since the cost-of-living crisis began, food prices are still at an unacceptable 45-year-high. Why is this?While the ONS has reported the biggest fall in inflation since the cost-of-living crisis began, food prices are still at an unacceptable 45-year-high. Why is this?
While the ONS has reported the biggest fall in inflation since the cost-of-living crisis began, food prices are still at an unacceptable 45-year-high. Why is this?
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Reflecting stubbornly high levels of inflation as the headline rate cools more slowly than anticipated, City economists had forecast a bigger decline in inflation in April to 8.2%.

The news comes as economists warn that Rishi Sunak’s target to halve the rate of inflation this year will be met within a finer margin than expected.

According to the latest snapshot from the ONS, electricity and gas prices contributed about 1.4 percentage points to the fall in the annual inflation rate, as last April’s rise in the Ofgem price cap drops out of the calculation.

It said this was partly offset by food prices continuing to rise at the fastest annual rate since 1977, as well as rising costs for recreation and culture, alcoholic beverages and tobacco, communication, and transport.

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Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor, said in an official statement: “The IMF said yesterday [May 23] we’ve acted decisively to tackle inflation but although it is positive that it is now in single digits, food prices are still rising too fast.”

Economics analyst and journalist Faisal Islan told another news outlet: “Markets now calculate a further interest rate rise is a certainty. The jump in core inflation may also bring another rise in August into play.

"In less well-reported remarks yesterday, the International Monetary Fund warned of "premature celebration" on defeating inflation.

"When an economy hits double digit inflation, it tends to take years, not weeks to get it out of the system.”

The government’s target for inflation is 2%.

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Yesterday [Tuesday, May 23] the International Monetary Fund forecast that this would not be reached until mid-2025.

A leader of the Unite union has warned there is "no end in sight" to the cost-of-living crisis despite the fall in inflation, as prices are still rising "much faster than wages".

Rising prices have played a key factor in strikes in sectors across the economy as workers see their pay fall further behind inflation.

Unite general secretary Sharon Graham has said: "Falling inflation does not mean we've reached a turning point where things can only get better."

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