NI population to rise by over 100,000 in 25 years

Northern Ireland’s population is expected to reach around 2 million by 2043, new figures show.
Photo by Jonathan Porter/Presseye. Northern Ireland Statistics and Research AgencyPhoto by Jonathan Porter/Presseye. Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency
Photo by Jonathan Porter/Presseye. Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency

The population is expected to increase by around 108,000 over the next quarter of a century, with 68,900 more births than deaths.
The population projections are contained in a new publication by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency.

The projections also show the continuing ageing of the Northern Ireland population.

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The number of people aged 65 and over is projected to increase by 56.2 per cent between mid-2018 and mid-2043. Likewise, the population aged 85 and over is projected to more than double over the same period.

By mid-2028, there is projected to be more people aged 65 and over (385,500 people) than children (aged 0-15) (375,700 people) in Northern Ireland.

Northern Ireland is projected to have the second largest population growth (5.7 per cent) between mid-2018 and mid-2043 across the UK. England is projected to have the largest population growth (10.3 per cent), followed by Scotland (2.5 per cent), with Wales projected to experience a population decrease (-0.9 per cent).

These latest projections result in population figures that are generally lower than those reported in the 2016-based projections. By mid-2043, it is projected that there will be 20,300 less people in Northern Ireland than previously projected in mid-2016.

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